Nature climate change
Volume 11 Issue 9, September 2021
Warmer waters, slower fish
It is unclear whether fish body size will decrease with future warming and, if so, what the ecological consequences of such changes will be. Writing in this issue of Nature Climate Change, Jorge Avaria-Llautureo and colleagues use phylogenetic data to show that, over the past ~150 million years, smaller fish occurred in warmer waters, moved shorter distances at low speed and had low speciation rates. Fish moved faster and evolved more quickly…
Image: Dominique Braud/Dembinsky Photo Associates/Alamy/Alamy Stock Photo. Cover Design: Valentina Monaco
Editorial
Editorial | 01 September 2021
Powers of qualitative research
Old-fashioned qualitative research methods are still powerful in answering the most emergent climate questions we are faced with.
Editorial | 01 September 2021
Assessing the world today
Climate extremes dominate headlines around the world as the IPCC releases its physical climate assessment report.
Books & Arts
Books & Arts | 01 September 2021
On our bookshelf
- Bronwyn Wake
Advertisement Feature
Arresting biodiversity loss
Protecting ecosystems has dividends beyond species conversation, a conference has heard. It’s hard-in-glove with our own societal needs.
Research Highlights
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Ozone trade-offs
- Alyssa Findlay
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Information Services
- Lingxiao Yan
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Plants under pressure
- Tegan Armarego-Marriott
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
The year 2020
- Bronwyn Wake
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Drought-related warming
- Graham Simpkins
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Slipping into seawater
- Alyssa Findlay
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Framing resilience
- Lingxiao Yan
Research Highlight | 01 September 2021
Selecting when to bloom
- Tegan Armarego-Marriott
News & Views
News & Views | 19 August 2021
Unfulfilled promise of better decisions
Climate services have long sought to bridge the gap between climate science and improved societal decision-making. Now, a study finds that fulfilling that promise will require rethinking the norms, institutions and governance of science itself.
- Meaghan Daly
News & Views | 23 August 2021
Cost of non-uniform climate policies
Economically optimal climate strategies may be politically less feasible because they need strong collective action. Fortunately, achieving climate goals through more realistic differentiated policies may not be much more expensive.
- Aleh Cherp
News & Views | 26 August 2021
Refining El Niño projections
Climate models disagree on how the year-to-year variability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation will change in a warmer world. Using a high-resolution climate model with an improved tropical Pacific mean state, research now suggests that El Niño activity tends to get weaker under GHG-induced warming.
- Shineng Hu
News & Views | 23 August 2021
Humans, climate and streamflow
Changes in river discharge due to climate change are highly uncertain, and a recent study used a global streamflow dataset to assess whether such trends are detectable. Streamflow changes occurred more often in basins impacted by human disturbances than in pristine ones, and there was no clear signal from climate change alone.
- Gabriele Villarini
- Conrad Wasko
News & Views | 30 August 2021
The declining tropical carbon sink
Observational data from long-term monitoring plots show that the carbon sink of remaining, undisturbed African and Amazonian tropical rainforest is declining. A study now finds that simulations from Earth system models cannot reproduce this decline.
- Anja Rammig
- David M. Lapola
News & Views | 09 August 2021
Double jeopardy for fish diversity
As climate change impacts marine ecosystems, fish must migrate or adapt and eventually speciate to preserve their diversity. Research now shows that warming has coincided with reduced fish body size throughout evolutionary history, hindering both preservation strategies.
- Joseph Flannery-Sutherland
News & Views | 01 September 2021
Listen to the world change
- Tegan Armarego-Marriott
Articles
Article | 19 August 2021
Climate services promise better decisions but mainly focus on better data
Climate services aim to make climate data and information accessible for climate-sensitive decision-making. However, the grounding of climate services in the norms and institutions of climate science creates tensions that reduce the impact of climate services.
- Kieran Findlater
- Sophie Webber
- Simon Donner
Article | 23 August 2021
The surprisingly inexpensive cost of state-driven emission control strategies
The nationwide cost of cutting emissions can be affected by local policies. This study considers the differences across the US states, with integrated assessment model results showing that varying state policies only increases nationwide costs by about 10%.
- Wei Peng
- Gokul Iyer
- David G. Victor
Article | 30 August 2021 | Open Access
Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels
Combining previous estimates in a multimethod approach, extreme sea levels are assessed under global warming levels of 1.5–5 °C at over 7,000 coastal sites worldwide. By 2100 or before, about 50% of locations exhibit present-day 100-year extreme sea levels at least once per year, even at 1.5 °C of warming.
- Claudia Tebaldi
- Roshanka Ranasinghe
- Lorenzo Mentaschi
Article | 30 August 2021
Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming
The impact of climate warming on El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude is uncertain in centennial-scale model projections due to internal variability, but an ensemble of millennial-scale simulations suggests decreased ENSO amplitude in the equilibrium response to greenhouse gas forcing.
- Christopher W. Callahan
- Chen Chen
- Elisabeth J. Moyer
Article | 26 August 2021
Future high-resolution El Niño/Southern Oscillation dynamics
High-resolution climate models exhibit reduced tropical Pacific mean-state biases due to better representation of ocean mesoscale processes, like tropical instability waves. With climate warming, these improved dynamics project weaker El Niño/Southern Oscillation sea surface temperature variability.
- Christian Wengel
- Sun-Seon Lee
- Fabian Schloesser
Article | 09 August 2021
Differences in the temperature dependence of wetland CO2 and CH4 emissions vary with water table depth
Climate change may result in larger releases of CH4 than CO2 from wetlands as CH4 emissions seem to be more sensitive to temperature. Globally, CO2 and CH4 emissions show a similar temperature dependence but this is modulated by wetland water table depth, which affects CH4 (but not CO2) emissions.
- Hongyang Chen
- Xiao Xu
- Ming Nie
Article | 05 August 2021
Increasing impact of warm droughts on northern ecosystem productivity over recent decades
The authors show increased negative extremes in gross primary productivity in northern midlatitude ecosystems, particularly over grasslands and croplands, attributed to impacts of warm droughts. This highlights the vulnerability of terrestrial carbon sinks and food security to increasing extreme events.
- David Gampe
- Jakob Zscheischler
- Wolfgang Buermann
Article | 26 August 2021
Rapid, but limited, zooplankton adaptation to simultaneous warming and acidification
The authors investigate temperature and pH effects on fitness of an abundant marine crustacean (copepod) across 25 generations. Reduced fitness under combined warming and acidification was recovered rapidly, but incompletely, due to interactions between warming and acidification effects.
- Hans G. Dam
- James A. deMayo
- Melissa H. Pespeni
Article | 09 August 2021
Historical warming consistently decreased size, dispersal and speciation rate of fish
Phylogenetic data over the past ~150 million years show smaller fish occurred in warmer waters, moved shorter distances at low speed and had low speciation rates. Fish moved faster and evolved quicker under periods of rapid change, with implications for movement and survival under climate change.
- Jorge Avaria-Llautureo
- Chris Venditti
- Cristian B. Canales-Aguirre
Amendments & Corrections
Author Correction | 29 June 2021
Author Correction: The climate mitigation opportunity behind global power transmission and distribution
- Kavita Surana
- Sarah M. Jordaan
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