Volume 10 Issue 5, May 2020
Changing water availability from snowmelt
Snowmelt runoff represents an important source of water for many regions of the world. The amount and timing of snowmelt is impacted by climate change, with implications for water resource management. In this issue, a study by Qin et al. shows that basins in Asia, central Russia, the western US and southern Andes are particularly vulnerable to changes in snowmelt since they rely on this water for crop irrigation. A study by…
Image: Ronda Kimbrow / Alamy Stock Photo. Cover Design: Valentina Monaco
Editorial
Editorial | 30 April 2020
Shifting habitats
Climate change is altering environmental niches, causing species to shift their habitat range as they track their ecological niche. These shifts allow species to persist but may disadvantage existing species in these areas; understanding the positives and negatives is needed to ensure effective management for biodiversity.
Correspondence
- Jiang Zhu
- , Christopher J. Poulsen
- & Bette L. Otto-Bliesner
Correspondence | 30 April 2020
High climate sensitivity in CMIP6 model not supported by paleoclimate
Comment
- P. Salinas-de-León
- , S. Andrade
- […]
- & B. Worm
- Mark C. Urban
- Alyssa Findlay
- Baird Langenbrunner
- Jenn Richler
- Tegan Armarego-Marriott
- Paul Tobin
- Mehliyar Sadiq
- Julie A. Vano
- Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
- Duncan McLaren
- & Nils Markusson
- Piper D. Wallingford
- , Toni Lyn Morelli
- […]
- & Cascade J. B. Sorte
- Heather M. Kharouba
- & Elizabeth M. Wolkovich
- Armin Schwartzman
- & Ralph F. Keeling
- Matthew N. Hayek
- , Sonali P. McDermid
- & Dale W. Jamieson
- Tomoko Hasegawa
- , Shinichiro Fujimori
- […]
- & Peter Witzke
- Jun-Chao Yang
- , Xiaopei Lin
- […]
- & Ziguang Li
- Steven E. Campana
- , John M. Casselman
- […]
- & Robert Perry
- Jonas Meckling
- & Bentley B. Allan
- Sabbie A. Miller
- & Frances C. Moore
- Meiyun Lin
- , Larry W. Horowitz
- […]
- & Kim Pilegaard
- Ben Livneh
- & Andrew M. Badger
- Yue Qin
- , John T. Abatzoglou
- […]
- & Nathaniel D. Mueller
- Mark A. Adams
- , Thomas N. Buckley
- & Tarryn L. Turnbull
- Luis A. Hückstädt
- Andrea Piñones,
- & Daniel P. Costa
Comment | 27 April 2020
Evolution of the Galapagos in the Anthropocene
The Galapagos Islands inspired the theory of evolution by means of natural selection; now in the Anthropocene, the Galapagos represent an important natural laboratory to understand ecosystem resilience in the face of climate extremes and enable effective socio-ecological co-evolution under climate change.
Comment | 30 April 2020
Climate-tracking species are not invasive
Applying an invasive framework to native species that are shifting their ranges in response to climate change adopts an adversarial, local and static paradigm that is often at odds with protecting global biodiversity.
Research Highlights
Research Highlight | 30 April 2020
Will forests need vitamins?
Research Highlight | 30 April 2020
Hazards in the Himalayas
Research Highlight | 30 April 2020
Competing models
Research Highlight | 30 April 2020
Climate or biodiversity?
News & Views
News & Views | 20 April 2020
Economics from zero-sum to win-win
Policy makers debate whether responding to climate change can be complementary to economic growth. New research tracking competing economic ideas across the environmental debate shows that climate change is increasingly seen as an opportunity; however, many still argue that growth and climate action are in conflict.
News & Views | 20 April 2020
The climate penalty of plants
Since 1980, European nations have made a tremendous effort to mitigate ozone pollution by reducing emissions, only to achieve limited success. Research now shows that vegetation stressed by heat and drought conditions has partly thwarted these actions.
News & Views | 20 April 2020
Implications of losing snowpack
Snow in the mountains provides a natural reservoir, storing water in the cold season for use later in the year. Now research demonstrates that reduced mountain snowpack due to rising temperatures makes drought harder to predict and jeopardizes irrigated agriculture throughout the world.
News & Views | 27 April 2020
Climate shifts for krill predators
Antarctic krill play a key role in Southern Ocean food webs but are vulnerable to climate change, with habitat shifts predicted in response. Now, a study of climate change impacts on a krill-specialist predator — the crabeater seal — suggests that this abundant marine mammal may be forced southwards with its prey.
Perspectives
Perspective | 20 April 2020
The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets
This Perspective maps the history of climate targets and shows how the international goal of avoiding dangerous climate change has been reinterpreted in the light of new modelling methods and technological promises, ultimately enabling policy prevarication and limiting mitigation.
Review Articles
Revew Article | 30 April 2020
Adjusting the lens of invasion biology to focus on the impacts of climate-driven range shifts
Climate change will cause species to shift their ranges to persist. This Review uses invasion ecology theory to consider the impacts of shifting species and how to manage these shifts to protect the recipient communities as well as the survival of the shifters.
Review Article | 30 April 2020
Disconnects between ecological theory and data in phenological mismatch research
Phenological shifts due to climate change can desynchronize the timings of life history events between species, but predicting the consequences is challenging. Changes to current methodologies would allow testing of the widely used Cushing hypothesis and improve predictions of climate change impacts.
Matters Arising
Matters Arising | 30 April 2020
Achieving atmospheric verification of CO2 emissions
Matters Arising | 30 April 2020
An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation
Matters Arising | 30 April 2020
Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation
Letters
Letter | 20 April 2020
Synchronized tropical Pacific and extratropical variability during the past three decades
Natural decadal variability has a role in global mean surface temperature trends. Observational data and modelling show that since the mid-1980s, the tropical eastern Pacific variability and the cold ocean–warm land pattern have covaried to enhance acceleration and deceleration in warming trends.
Letter | 20 April 2020
Arctic freshwater fish productivity and colonization increase with climate warming
Arctic lakes and their resident fish species are warming rapidly. Geospatial analysis of Canadian Arctic lakes predicts a 20% increase in lake trout productivity by 2050 and a 29% increase in harvestable biomass across an expanded range.
Articles
Article | 20 April 2020
The evolution of ideas in global climate policy
This analysis of global climate policy reports shows how economic ideas have shaped climate policy. The authors find a shift from neoclassical dominance to a more diversified discourse, which has expanded policy choices beyond market-based policies to include green innovation and industrial policy.
Article | 23 March 2020
Climate and health damages from global concrete production
Concrete production emits high levels of GHGs. It also causes air pollution, with emissions of particulate matter as well as nitrogen and sulfur oxides, which together with GHG emissions cause climate and health damages nearing 75% of the industry value.
Article | 20 April 2020
Vegetation feedbacks during drought exacerbate ozone air pollution extremes in Europe
Despite strict controls on precursor emissions, ozone air pollution has not decreased over Europe in recent decades. This is largely attributed to water-stressed vegetation; during heatwaves and drought, plants are less effective at ozone removal via stomata, worsening peak ozone pollution episodes.
Article | 20 April 2020
Drought less predictable under declining future snowpack
Climate warming causes less mountain precipitation to fall as snow. Hydrologic simulations predict that in a high-end emissions scenario, this decreases the predictability of seasonal water resources across the western United States, with low-elevation coastal areas impacted most strongly.
Article | 20 April 2020
Agricultural risks from changing snowmelt
Snowmelt runoff is an important source of water for irrigating agricultural crops in high-mountain Asia, Central Asia, western Russia, western US and the southern Andes. Climate change places water resources in these basins at risk, indicating the need to adapt water management.
Article | 27 April 2020
Diminishing CO2-driven gains in water-use efficiency of global forests
Under rising CO2, most plants constrict their stomata, lose less water via transpiration and photosynthesize more efficiently. A global dataset of tree-ring isotope measurements reveals a slowdown in water-use efficiency gains over the twentieth century, with marked spatiotemporal variability.
Article | 27 April 2020
Projected shifts in the foraging habitat of crabeater seals along the Antarctic Peninsula
Crabeater seals feed predominantly on Antarctic krill. Combining seal tracks and diving behaviour with environmental variables allows the future foraging habitat, and therefore krill distribution, to be predicted, suggesting a shift offshore and south along the western Antarctic Peninsula.
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