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Climate change, Nature February 2019

Advertisement Trace Gas Analyzers from LI-COR Exceptional stability and precision for atmospheric monitoring in a new, cost-effective platform. Learn more TABLE OF CONTENTS February 2019 Volume 9, Issue 2 Editorial Advertisement Windows to a sustainable future Materials scientist Derya Baran and her group are developing novel energy harvesting devices for the real world. City buildings designed with transparent solar windows will have a dramatically reduced carbon footprint. Access now >>  Advertisement Biological Solutions for the Global CO2 Challenge, 3-4 June This EMBL conference will bring together scientific leaders, industrial players, as well as policy makers to discuss how synthetic biology and metabolic engineering can contribute to sustainable CO2 capture and conversion. Conference topics will cover the entire chain of innovation. Submit your abstract by 11 March   Editorial Thinking about emissions     p81 doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0411-2 Comment Shift the focus from the super-poor to the super-rich     pp82 – 84 Ilona M. Otto, Kyoung Mi Kim, Nika Dubrovsky & Wolfgang Lucht doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0402-3 Grounding nature-based climate solutions in sound biodiversity science     pp84 – 87 Nathalie Seddon, Beth Turner, Pam Berry, Alexandre Chausson & Cécile A. J. Girardin doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0405-0 Research Highlights Declining yield resilience     p88 Alastair Brown doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0407-y Demand-side green action     p88 Adam Yeeles doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0408-x More powerful tornadoes     p88 Graham Simpkins doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0409-9 To engage or not to engage?     p88 Jenn Richler doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0410-3 Nature Climate Change EVENT International Conference on Environmental Pollution Siemreap (Cambodia)t 26.02.19 Siemreap, Cambodia More science events from News & Views General and specific motivations     pp89 – 90 Andrea Louise Taylor doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0395-3 Moving to the South Pole     pp90 – 91 Margaret M. McBride doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0396-x Public lands fly under climate radar     pp92 – 93 Nathan Ratledge, Steven J. Davis & Laura Zachary doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0399-7 Perspectives Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate     pp94 – 101 Yochanan Kushnir, Adam A. Scaife, Raymond Arritt, Gianpaolo Balsamo, George Boer et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7 Near-term climate predictions bridge the gap between seasonal forecasts and long-term projections. This Perspective outlines the challenges and opportunities for near-term climate prediction, highlighting the need for co-ordinated efforts to benefit society. Taking climate model evaluation to the next level     pp102 – 110 Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y Earth system models project likely future climates, however, evaluation of their output is challenging. This Perspective discusses new evaluation approaches, considering both simulations and observations, to ensure credible information for decision-making. Review Articles The evidence for motivated reasoning in climate change preference formation     pp111 – 119 James N. Druckman & Mary C. McGrath doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0360-1 In this Review, a Bayesian framework is used to explain climate change belief updating, and the evidence required to support claims of directional motivated reasoning versus a model in which people aim for accurate beliefs, but vary in how they assess information credibility. Matters Arising The role of ocean dynamics in king penguin range estimation     pp120 – 121 A. J. S. Meijers, M. P. Meredith, E. J. Murphy, D. P. Chambers, M. Belchier et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0388-2 Reply to: ‘The role of ocean dynamics in king penguin range estimation’     p122 Emiliano Trucchi, Robin Cristofari & Céline Le Bohec doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0390-8 Letters A reconciled estimate of the influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on recent Eurasian cooling     pp123 – 129 Masato Mori, Yu Kosaka, Masahiro Watanabe, Hisashi Nakamura & Masahide Kimoto doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0379-3 The connections between Arctic sea-ice loss and severe Eurasian winters are complicated by differences among studies. Correcting model underestimates reveals that 44% of the central Eurasian cooling trend is attributable to sea-ice loss in the Barents–Kara Seas. Constraining glacier elevation and mass changes in South America     pp130 – 136 Matthias H. Braun, Philipp Malz, Christian Sommer, David Farías-Barahona, Tobias Sauter et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0375-7 Synthetic aperture radar interferometry reveals that 19 Gt of ice is lost per year from glaciers in South America — mostly from Patagonia — contributing 0.04 mm annually to global sea-level rise. Global patterns and dynamics of climate–groundwater interactions     pp137 – 141 M. O. Cuthbert, T. Gleeson, N. Moosdorf, K. M. Befus, A. Schneider et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0386-4 Groundwater model results and hydrologic data sets reveal that half of global groundwater fluxes may equilibrate with climate-driven recharge variations on human timescales, indicating that hydraulic memory may buffer climatic change impacts. Krill ( Euphausia superba ) distribution contracts southward during rapid regional warming     pp142 – 147 Angus Atkinson, Simeon L. Hill, Evgeny A. Pakhomov, Volker Siegel, Christian S. Reiss et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0370-z As the southwest Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean has warmed, the distribution of a key species, Antarctic krill, has contracted southwards. This has occurred in tandem with a decline in recruitment of juveniles, linked to increasingly positive anomalies of the Southern Annular Mode. Physiology and iron modulate diverse responses of diatoms to a warming Southern Ocean     pp148 – 152 Philip W. Boyd doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0389-1 Climate change will alter primary productivity in the Southern Ocean, and warming and iron limitation will influence the composition of diatoms in the region. Optimum growth temperatures are wider than expected, but limited iron will affect which species flourish. Bluetongue risk under future climates     pp153 – 157 Anne E. Jones, Joanne Turner, Cyril Caminade, Andrew E. Heath, Maya Wardeh et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0376-6 Bluetongue risk to livestock across northern Europe is projected to extend further north, with a longer transmission season and larger outbreaks on average. As a result, disease detection and control measures will be increasingly important. Articles Meta-analyses of factors motivating climate change adaptation behaviour     pp158 – 163 Anne M. van Valkengoed & Linda Steg doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0371-y Meta-analyses with data from 106 studies show that descriptive norms, negative affect, perceived self-efficacy and outcome efficacy are most strongly associated with climate change adaptation, whereas knowledge and experience are only weakly associated with adaptive behaviour. Integrity of firms’ emissions reporting in China’s early carbon markets     pp164 – 169 Da Zhang, Qin Zhang, Shaozhou Qi, Jinpeng Huang, Valerie J. Karplus et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0394-4 Accurate emissions data are required to monitor progress towards climate goals. Firms’ self-reported emissions show convergence with independently verified emissions in two pilot emissions trading systems in China over several years, suggesting the effectiveness of oversight and third-party audits. Organic matter from Arctic sea-ice loss alters bacterial community structure and function     pp170 – 176 Graham J. C. Underwood, Christine Michel, Guillaume Meisterhans, Andrea Niemi, Claude Belzile et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0391-7 Arctic sea-ice melt causes a release of dissolved organic material (DOM) into the surface waters. The increased dominance of first-year ice and DOM release is impacting under-ice bacterial communities. Amendments & Corrections Author Correction: Contrasting responses of autumn-leaf senescence to daytime and night-time warming     p177 Chaoyang Wu, Xiaoyue Wang, Huanjiong Wang, Philippe Ciais, Josep Peñuelas et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0392-6 Publisher Correction: Contrasting responses of autumn-leaf senescence to daytime and night-time warming     p177 Chaoyang Wu, Xiaoyue Wang, Huanjiong Wang, Philippe Ciais, Josep Peñuelas et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0380-x Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

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