Centro de Documentación
Repositorio de publicaciones de referencia y de interés para la sustentabilidad ambiental del desarrollo |
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2012
OCDE,
OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 Libro
OCDE, 2012, (El costo de la inacción, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264122246-en).
Resumen | Enlaces | BibTeX | Etiquetas: Agua, Aire, Biodiversidad, Cambio climático, Contaminación, Economía, modelos predictivos, OCDE, políticas públicas
@book{OCDE2012,
title = {OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050},
author = {OCDE},
editor = {OCDE},
url = {/publicaciones/OECD/2012_Env.Outlook.2050_oecd.pdf},
year = {2012},
date = {2012-06-06},
pages = {353},
publisher = {OCDE},
abstract = {With a population of 7 billion, the world in 2012 faces highly complex economic and social
challenges. While protecting the environment and conserving natural resources remain key policy
priorities, many countries are also struggling with slow economic growth, stretched public finances
and high levels of unemployment. Tackling these pressing challenges requires a deep cultural shift
towards "greener" and more innovative sources of growth, and more sustainable consumption
patterns.
The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 addresses the implications of demographic and
economic trends over the next four decades using model based projections for four key areas of global
concern: climate change, biodiversity, water and the health impacts of environmental pollution. The
reality is that, if we fail to transform our policies and behaviour, the picture is rather grim.
The “Baseline” scenario projects that, unless the global energy mix changes, fossil fuels will
supply about 85% of energy demand in 2050, implying a 50% increase in greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions and worsening urban air pollution. The impact on the quality of life of our citizens would
be disastrous. The number of premature deaths from exposure to particulate pollutants could double
from current levels to 3.6 million every year. Global water demand is projected to increase by 55% to
2050. Competition for water would intensify, resulting in up to 2.3 billion more people living in
severely water-stressed river basins. By 2050, global terrestrial biodiversity is projected to decline by
a further 10%.},
note = {El costo de la inacción, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264122246-en},
keywords = {Agua, Aire, Biodiversidad, Cambio climático, Contaminación, Economía, modelos predictivos, OCDE, políticas públicas},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {book}
}
With a population of 7 billion, the world in 2012 faces highly complex economic and social
challenges. While protecting the environment and conserving natural resources remain key policy
priorities, many countries are also struggling with slow economic growth, stretched public finances
and high levels of unemployment. Tackling these pressing challenges requires a deep cultural shift
towards "greener" and more innovative sources of growth, and more sustainable consumption
patterns.
The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 addresses the implications of demographic and
economic trends over the next four decades using model based projections for four key areas of global
concern: climate change, biodiversity, water and the health impacts of environmental pollution. The
reality is that, if we fail to transform our policies and behaviour, the picture is rather grim.
The “Baseline” scenario projects that, unless the global energy mix changes, fossil fuels will
supply about 85% of energy demand in 2050, implying a 50% increase in greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions and worsening urban air pollution. The impact on the quality of life of our citizens would
be disastrous. The number of premature deaths from exposure to particulate pollutants could double
from current levels to 3.6 million every year. Global water demand is projected to increase by 55% to
2050. Competition for water would intensify, resulting in up to 2.3 billion more people living in
severely water-stressed river basins. By 2050, global terrestrial biodiversity is projected to decline by
a further 10%.
challenges. While protecting the environment and conserving natural resources remain key policy
priorities, many countries are also struggling with slow economic growth, stretched public finances
and high levels of unemployment. Tackling these pressing challenges requires a deep cultural shift
towards "greener" and more innovative sources of growth, and more sustainable consumption
patterns.
The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 addresses the implications of demographic and
economic trends over the next four decades using model based projections for four key areas of global
concern: climate change, biodiversity, water and the health impacts of environmental pollution. The
reality is that, if we fail to transform our policies and behaviour, the picture is rather grim.
The “Baseline” scenario projects that, unless the global energy mix changes, fossil fuels will
supply about 85% of energy demand in 2050, implying a 50% increase in greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions and worsening urban air pollution. The impact on the quality of life of our citizens would
be disastrous. The number of premature deaths from exposure to particulate pollutants could double
from current levels to 3.6 million every year. Global water demand is projected to increase by 55% to
2050. Competition for water would intensify, resulting in up to 2.3 billion more people living in
severely water-stressed river basins. By 2050, global terrestrial biodiversity is projected to decline by
a further 10%.
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